1st Test - S.Africa v England - Durban - Day 4 Trading

Book brought forward :

SA -£2900

Eng +£7200

Draw +£5900

Equity +£6200

Ok, what have we seen so far ?

IMHO, a very well disciplined England team, who batted ok, and bowled with great lines/fielded well, and generally, played pretty good.

A ragged S.African team, who, clearly rely too much, on 2-4 individuals, who fielded poorly, and may be on a downward curve.

England lead by 261, with 7 wkts left. I am sure Cook will be cautious, but expect a declaration, maybe 40 mins before Tea .. setting S.africa 400+.

Trading wise, the first 3 hrs will probably be pretty dull - unless England really bat quick, or S.Africa get a heap of wkts.

Current Prices

S.Africa 15

England 1.47

Draw 3.9

I have no wish to get involved, but, would back the Draw at bigger.


Oh, and BTW, think the Barmy Army are well below par .. v few songs .. they need to up their game a bit.

In the 4 hrs before the game, the Eng price has gone from 1.47, to 1.42 and back to 1.49.

Someone, taking it for a walk ...

Eng lose 2 wkts .. 197-5, lead by 286.

SA 8.6

Eng 1.47

Draw 4.8


New ball due in 2 overs .. if they take it , as this one is reversing. England looking to get on with it.

Some of these comments never showed 'live' .. dunno why.

Trade - lay 3000/750 draw 

Wkt - Taylor - Eng 224-6 

SA 5.5

Eng 1.47

Draw 7.4

Trade - back draw 3000/460



Eng 242-6 .. lead by 330

Eng crash to 1.37 ?

Trade - lay Eng 1750/5000

Someone got the muchies fir Eng 1.33 ?? .. shuda laid this price.

lead 350-6

15 mins to lunch

SA 12

Eng 1.37

Draw 5.1

Wkt - on review - Ali - Eng 361-7 ..net.

SA 8.6

Eng 1.37

Draw 6

Radio _2000 commemtator says dec imminent .. expletives required .. pick your own.

Lunch

book

SA +£2390

Eng +£5740

Draw +£10900

Equity +£6400

Will look to get back on Eng, but think price wrong.

Eng lead 404-8

SA 16

Eng 1.36

Draw 4.8

Wkt - Broad 404-9

SA 12

Eng 1.35

Draw 5.3


Eng 416 all out ..net.

SA 9.4

Eng 1.35

Draw 6.6

370 in a losing cause been scored here before, batting last.

SA need a good start etc .. not totally happy with my book, but, cant do much, st these prices.

SA 2-0

Saa 6.4
Eng 1.5!!
Draw 5.7

Trade back Eng 2000-4000


Solid start - SA 26-0 .. which is promising for them going forward, as Van Zyl could easily have been a basket case.

SA 5

Eng 1.59

Draw 5.6

Mkt going into meltdown

SA 49-0

SA 3.55

Eng 1.66

Draw 7

hmm ... The rapid start, with all the time available, has some traders v worried.

Wkt - Van zyl bowled for 33 - SA 53-1

SA 5.3

Eng 1.42

Draw 8.4


Tea - SA 65-1 .. need 351 more, in 4 sessions .. 120 overs or so.

SA 5

Eng 1.45

Draw 8.8

Interesting game .. and fair play to Van Zyl , who played v positively.

Book.

SA + £3350

Eng +£6700

Draw +£5900

Equity +£6000

Sa 82-1 .. mkt will get v twitchy, if Amla gets to 30 odd not out .. presently on 12

SA 3.4 .. they couldmeasily be odds on tomite ..

Eng 1.66

Draw 12  friendless .. rightly

Its 3.20 local .. play till 5.00 .. 30 more overs apprix .. they could be 200-? at close ..


Fllodlights coming on .. but not dark ..

Wicket - Amla chases one .. poor shot .. 85-2

SA 5.6

Eng 1.4

Draw 7.8

Wkt -Elgar goes, then a brief shower .. all hell let loose

cant keep up, 93-3

SA 12

Eng 1.28

Draw 7

Getting dark, but brighter in distance .. take your pick.

Drinks .. 19 overs left in day, but, not likely to see them all.

SA 113-3 .. need 290 more ..

all,about ABd and Du plessis ..

SA 7.6

Eng 1.31

Draw 9.2

looks right ..

SA 120-3 .. v little intent from SA .. blockathon.

batters look solid .. draw at 6.0 has some appeal.


Wicket - du plessis with 3 overs to close - SA 136/4

Massive Wkt, with, as it turns out, just 3 balls or so, left in the day.

SA 16

Eng 1.21

Draw 8

Abd is absolute class, but cant fo it by himself.

Steyn comes in as night watchman

Final Book :

SA + £3350

Eng +£6700

Draw +£5900

Equity +£6000

I will leave it like this. I dont feel I traded optimally today, there were some clear opportunities I didnt take .. and u could argue, I should have just left my position, as it was, on Day 1.

Still ..