Monday, 20 November 2017

Its all about solving puzzles

Life is a puzzle, and for many years, its easy to get trapped trying to solve it - rather than go with the flow, and enjoy it.

We have many demands placed upon us - which can be hard to ignore - but, I don't think u can under-emphasise, u need to do what makes u happy.

As one gets older, the rigour of travel, is less of an enjoyment - and certainly now, I prefer to be less mobile.

Poker has a lot of what I am looking for : Its a gamble, with a cast full of characters, looking to solve a puzzle, for money.

This weekend, I was able to play :

Normally I play at a certain casino - but, after a 30 minute drive, got there to discover, the poker room was being used for a private poker event - so, was turned away. I went to the blackjack pit, got the normal shit service (no one says hello, says fuck-all actually), so, I played in the same fashion, and when cashed out, and they asked for my name, picked up my chips, and left.

Drove to another place, and was lucky to find a seat at a $2/5 table. Just the one game going .. its was early Saturday afternoon, and would maybe only get 4 tables, later that evening.




The table was reg heavy .. many of which I knew, would be happy to see me .. but, was not in the mood to blast off my chips.

I bought in for $500, which was about average.

Maybe an hour in, the regs were starting to ask themselves, what was going on. I was resolutely folding out of position, just playing position, with hands of decent quality. In poker, its definitely an advantage to get premium hands, but, just as big an advantage, is position, and knowing what range of hands, both your opponents have, and what they perceive u to have.

A female lady reg, whose range is decent pocket pairs, and maybe suited connectors, got her AA cracked by a set of 7's, and left. She would be important later.

I was playing solid, good poker .. but, generally in the 1st 3 hrs or so, seeing few playable hands.

As the afternoon past into evening, the game attracted some new characters. On my immediate left, was a tight elderly dunnit merchant, who had zero chance of winning. After playing poorly to lose 2 buy-ins, he borrowed a 3rd, from someone at the table .. which surprised me a little, as thought the person loaning the money, would know better. He later blew this off, shoving A♦K♠, into a board of Q♥ 7♥ 6♠ .. which shows u etc. I later saw him in the salon prive, sitting next to a guy, with maybe $20k, watching that guy play blackjack. Maybe another loan beckoned.

There were 2 supposed 'whales' who might play/donate at my game, but so far, they had escaped the net - preferring to play baccarat.

The female lady reg returned, with a v solid reg, who I really respected, to her immediate left. They knew each other, and generally slow-played against each other, which was fine.

A short while later, I picked up Q♦8♦ in late position, which I decided to make a small raise with, and the lady reg, in BB called. Just the 2 of us. The flop came Q♥8♠9♣ and u would think, this would be good. But, as I say, she just plays a v narrow range .. so, when she raised my continuation bet, I folded and showed the table (which u shouldn't do, but, I was there to have fun). The table was frankly stunned, but, it was a good fold, as she had me coolered, with Q♣9♦. Now, this isn't a suited connector, so, am not totally sure why she was still in the hand -- but, still.

Maybe 15 mins later, I get my first premium hand, in 4 hrs. K♦K♠, and decided to flat in early position, hoping for a check-raise situation, as the table was seeing a lot of raises. Sure enough, a reg in seat 5 raised, the lady reg called, and I re-raised. All other fold, but, the lady reg, who again called.

Flop came Q♦5♥4♠ .. pretty good for my Kings .. but she can definitely have QQ, or maybe AA. I put out a decent bet, and she comes over the top, with a big raise. I felt totally in the zone, and put her 100% on AA, so again folded my KK - face up. The table was again, stunned - but, was proved right when she showed her hand. If she had flat-called, she would have got all my chips, but, the raise, told me enough, to get away.

This stellar play, was all good, but, u want to get paid for playing well. I was now seeing cards, and picked up KK again, UTG+2. My raise, was re-raised, by a v solid pro, in mid-position, and either I could shove, or, see a flop, and if no A hit, then shove, as our stacks meant, we would have little choice. The flop came K 4 10, and was lucky to have out-drawn his AA. This gave me a v playable stack, when a whale came back from the baccarat, and sat down with $1k.

The very first hand, I picked up 9♦9♠ in the BB, and with a straddle on, it was pricey to call a raise from the whale, but, decided I had enough to get well-paid if a 9 hits the flop.

Sure enough, the flop comes J♦9♥5♠, and the whale shoves all-in, for about $750 effective (my stack). I called, and his A♦A♣ never improved.

Winning, maybe $1000 .. I decided to quit, and take a walk in the salon prive. As I was walking round, there was a commotion at the  3 card poker table .. a Chinese high-roller, had hit the straight flush jackpot, for $80k .. must be nice .. He handed out high-fives .. I would have preferred $100 notes, but, maybe that's being unrealistic.

It was a fun visit.






Wednesday, 11 October 2017

20 yrs, goes by so quickly.

Now the Global T20 has been postponed, the 'punctuation police' have had to call up re-inforcements, as I have a little more time to annoy people.

I saw a tweet from someone who had quite a knack for this :

Nick Leeson

Nikkei225 at highest level today since 1996 - probably not far off my break-even point. If only they'd waited!!

Were does the time go ? Out of interest, I looked at his bio .. and he spent only maybe 4 yrs in jail, before being released. He had colon cancer, for which the prognosis was dire, but, survived.





On my travels  there is quite a discussion re Advantage Play and whether the Las Vegas shooter - Stephen Paddock was a high level advantage video poker player. There is also discussion as to the sociopath behaviour of full-time gamblers and whether he used 'Advantage' techniques to fire off more rounds than any previous shooter, thus '' 'raising the bar' - if you like.

This is grim stuff - which I am sure we all generally want to ignore. For those interested, here is a link :

https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/gambling-with-an-edge/the-shooter-gambler/

The comments are fascinating.

We are still awaiting the UK decision on maximum allowed gambled per spin.  Its maybe possible FOBT degenerates may benefit from an in-depth study and finally get the UK government to grow a pair.


Tuesday, 10 October 2017

Patience - Ignore the idiots

A few things in this post.

1. What a bunch of clowns, Cricket South Africa are. All they have to do, is be nice to people, arrange a few cricket games, and reap in the money. Due to an odd sequence of events, they are currently playing a series against Bangladesh, in the most god-forsaken outreaches of S.Africa, where, only a few (drunk) students or cattle might wander in. The level of cricket is dire, and no-one is watching (has watched).

India have long lost patience, and .. holding all the cards, have amended tours. S.Africa now get to play a 4 day test match, on Boxing day, versus Zimbabwe. Whoopee Doo.

The Global T20, is a colossal fuck-up, and, has now been postponed, 3 weeks before its due to start. Quite what, local domestic players, are supposed to do, in the interim, hasn't yet been announced. maybe they will be available, to help herd the cattle. Let alone, all the good people, who have booked flights, booked hospitality boxes, planned trips, etc etc.

Mis-management of country affairs, should be punishable. Its clearly gross mis-management. (I am sure, the ex-CSA head, Haroon Lorgat, will get a fancy settlement.) He deserves nothing.



// Moving on

2. I try to be nice to people, but, I am not giving away intellectual property for free. I have had too many free-loaders, and am calling time. If u write to me, asking for stuff, I have paid good money for, and spent many hours, working on projects, u will get a short answer, and it wont be yes.

On a forum, there was a teaser thread, where a piece of software, is trying to drum up interest, in what it deems, a new bit of software, that will change the way, trading takes place.

As people were guessing etc, someone asked for something, that I mentioned, was already available, on a rival bit of kit .. like 3 yrs ago. Instead of getting a polite PM, asking for the name etc, the requester sarcastically asked me to name it, on a rival website. I didn't, and the forum member, will again, get short shrift for me in future.

I am tired of all the parasites. The fact I knew this little known feature was available, should have comanded some respect. But, its in short supply. They can all fuck-off.


Saturday, 23 September 2017

Life goes on

I am still here, but, am genuinely  getting more enjoyment from non-internet based activities, and have accordingly, greatly reduced my social prescience, and thus the blog has suffered.

The world is still an odd place, we have a President of the United States, whose own biographer, in 'The art of the deal' finds it hard to find more than 2 redeeming qualities in him - yet, the US stock market is at an all-time high, nuclear warheads are tested, with bravado, and the climate appears to have become more severe.

Some of this is just fluff. Gamblers tend to be incredibly narrow-minded ..  and consider, just, what can help them, find and develop/mine an edge. This is fair enough, but, at some point, maybe a more balanced approach is needed, and we need to take a more active role, in what is actually happening in the world. But, u probably don't want to hear this .. so, will reign myself in.




Its interesting to see the US sports bodies, manoeuvring their official stance to sports betting, and how their respective codes are run. Its clear, they expect legal sports betting in the US, within maybe 3 yrs, and full-time officials, are part of the process (for fear of suits, if a referee gets a decision wrong). Its an interesting debate, whether all reviews in game, should be held at one central location. It might slow down the process, or even speed it up. What is should do, is provide more consistency .. and that's probably a good thing.

I went to a seminar (or tried to go to a seminar), on Bitcoin recently. The seminar was advertised, at a university, with an admission fee of £15. 1 student turned up (he wasn't aware of the fee), and literally ran from the building, when told. In sympathy, I took the lecturer for a burger, and got the gospel. He was a fanatic .. and I happily played devils advocate. On the day of the burger, Bitcoin was $4100 .. its now $3670 or so .. and could go anywhere. If the Chinese crypto exchanges have now sold all their currencies, the amount of influence they now have, is reduced. Its possible, it might find a support level, and go to the moon.

The Oxford union address by Tony Schwartz, in Nov 2106.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qxF_CDDJ0YI


Monday, 14 August 2017

Hustle ..

So, I caught a 10.00 am train to London, expecting to get there, maybe 2 hrs, before a cricket game was starting.

I paid an extra £2, to sit in 1st class .. which, I couldnt complain about, and a young lady came and sat at the desk, to use the power outlet.

Half-way, the way train was cancelled, as someone had killed themselves at the next station. (its a bit sad, that this is the 4th one, I have been affected by, in 3 yrs -- horrible for everyone concerned, especially the train drivers/cleaners).

At the station, about 200 people looked to complete the 1 hr journey to London. A different train company, ran from a station, 10 miles away, so, I ambled over to the taxi line, where 15 people were waiting. One taxi came and went, and a new one arrived, with space for 6. I was at the back of the queue .. but, got on the taxi. I saw the lady from 1st class, and asked her if she wanted to join me .. the taxi had 1 more space, but, she seemed embaressed to jump the queue, and declined.

The train from the next station, was leaving at 12.03. The taxi ride, was due to end, at 12.04 .. just missing, but, we had all the smart-phones tracking everything, and as we arrived at the station, the train wasnt there (a good sign).



The train arrived, as we were crossing, to the correct platform .. and sprinting, just made it.

I was at the ground, 45 mins, before it started .. (and lost) .. but, dont regret the hustle.

//

One of the games, was a ladies T20, and the quality, is v basic. They have to start somewhere .. but, no-one is ever gonna pay to watch this shit.

//

I first heard of Bitcoin, on the DonkDown radio podcasts .. in 2012. At the time, in was 8 bitcoin for a $ ..

A yr ago, Bitcoin, was $600 a coin. Over the weekend, it touched $4200.

Shud, coulda, wuda etc .. but, it looks like a classic bubble.


Wednesday, 12 July 2017

Getting older .. and its implications

By definition, we are all getting older .. But, when u crest a certain age, new things happen to you.

In the last 3 days, I have been stuck on multiple trains/tubes, which are standing room only, baking hot, as no aircon etc .. and have been offered a seat .. some, by fairly young females.

This is a bit disconcerting.



In a local supermarket, whilst walking past a stand, it accidentally collapsed .. Honestly, I was no-where near it, and people assumed I had tripped ? or whatever, and as I was picking a few items up, many others stopped to also help, and ask if I was ok ??

In a cinema, I was asked if I wanted the senior ticket-rate ..

All of this, is disheartening .. and does affect your confidence a little, as, generally, gambling needs a little aggression, which, is probably a young-mans attribute.

To counter this, I am starting to change my betting strategies .. and actually think more, about situations.

As you get older, u care less about what people think, and break-rules. If someone complains, I can feign hard of hearing/poor eyesight etc, or just generally act like a drooler.

So, will for now, tolerate all of this - but wont say I am enjoying it.

Wednesday, 5 July 2017

Betfair USA Youtube channel

A lot has passed me by recently, mostly concerning honesty and honour, and its just too depressing to comment on.



A post in the Bet Angel forum, peaked my interest.

With certain legislative moves being made in the USA, with regard to sports betting, its good to see Betfair USA, working on their youtube channel .. (its a shame, they dont work as hard as Ben Keith (Star Sports), who sponsored the 2017 Greyhound Derby at Towcester, but still.

This video, raises a few questions. But, anyway, its a start :

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hygtz3sL81E

Some of Ben Keiths stuff :

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iqWzOS1v-Ng