Tuesday, 19 November 2013
T20 - S.Africa v Pakistan - Wanderers
Earlyish start, may help get a game, but, CMM 1.5+ and rising .. looks right.
Hope they get a game.
/////////////////////////
Didnt rain at all, yesterday, and thou its fractionally more overcast today, think the game will be fine.
CMM currently, 1.31
Tuesday, 22 October 2013
2nd Test - Pakistan v S.Africa - Dubai
Anyway .. S.Africa 1 down, and havent lost a series, for a long time.
Pre-toss, worries about Amla missing (wife having baby), and Steyn, who came thru, and plays.
Prices -
Pakistan 3.85
S.Africa 2.28
Draw 3.3
A big toss, and Pakistan finally win one !!
Pakistan decide to bat, on a pitch, that looks like it will turn from day 2.
Pakistan 3.3
S.Africa 2.5
Draw 3.45
Pakistan looks a bit short to me .. and have a small position against them.
Here we go :
Wkt - 2nd Ball !! Steyn bowls 2 beuities :
Pak 0-1
Pak 3.8
SA 2.00
Draw 4.2
Pak 8-1 .. and SA bowling well but, already signs, ball may not bounce as much, in a few hrs.
Have removed Pak red, and starting to back draw.
Pak 3.55
SA 1.98
Draw 4.5
The whole world, wants to lay the draw .. I think, if anything, its big ,,
As ever, am against the trend, but, have a nice start : Backe draw 4.5, laid SA 2.00
Drinks -
Pak 2.84
SA 2.68
Draw 3.55
Wkt - Ali - 19 from 54 .. Pak 38-2 ..
Wkt came from no-where really ..
SA 2.1
Pak 3.3
Draw 4.1
Pak 48-2 .. 30 mins before lunch, so, slow going.
SA 2.2
Pak 3.25
Draw 4.2
Wkt for Tahir - Pak 52-3
SA 1.78
Pak 3.6
Draw 5.6
Book caught out by the quick qkts, and wasted big green ,, waiting for lower odds. Small red now.
Steyn bowled really well, and get Younus Khan .. 10 from 26 .. Pak in trouble 60-4
SA 1.48
Pak 4.5
Draw 8.6
Fuck me .. another, before lunch, for Tahir ..
Pak 60-6
SA 1.23
Pak 6.6
Draw 25
Sick ..Lunch called ..
The torment continues : After lunch, suicidal run, and out by a mile :
Pak 64-7
SA 1.18
Pak 8
Draw 24
Hard to keep up, as 2 other games on :
Pak 82-9
SA 1.13
Pak 12
Draw 30
Pleased for Tahir, who has 5 wkts .. but, bank manager wont be happy.
Pak all out for 99 .. from being 58-2
Lets see how SA bat on this deck, from, watching, it looked pretty woeful.
Heres the reply :
SA 9-0 after 4 overs .. the odd scare, but, no joy yet for Pakistan.
SA 1.15
Pak 11
Draw 25
Pak rip up both reviews .. some team this :
SA 29-0 after 7 overs .. and spin comes on, for the 1st time.
SA 1.13
Pak 13
Draw 23
Wkt for Babar SA 37-1 - Petersen goes, and continues to not really impress.
prices dont budge ..
Tea .. 41-1
Inching along after Tea :
62-1 after 22 overs ..
SA 1.15
Pak 12
Draw 17
Not much interest,as Ind v Aus game, looks a cracker
78-1 and comms foccusing on cricinfo reporters falling asleep in the (comfy) stands.
91-1 Drinks
SA 1.12
Pak 19
Draw 16
Elgar goes .. 91-2
SA 1.14
Pak 15
Draw 17
////////////////////////////
SA went on to score 517 or so, and Pak, tailed off, currently 362 behind, with 3 wkts down.
The champs, have really nailed this one .. I unfortunately, didnt ..
/////////////////////////////
A day or so later, and some ball tampering .. ahem .. Pak are 179 behind, for 4 wkts, with 135 overs left in the Test.
SA 1.21
Pak 150
Draw 5.5
Mkt has been showing signs of panic .. or manpiluation .. take your pick.
Thursday, 17 October 2013
Pakistan in Dubai - Odds for Test 2
We have always known, Pakistan have an outstanding bowling attack, but, their batting, has been fragile, to say the least .. so, was wondering, whether the flat pitches, which can be slower .. a lot slower, give their batters, enough time, to improve their averages.
They haven't played many Tests, at the Dubai Cricket Stadium .. the next venue :
v England - 2 tests, and they scored :
99, 365, for a win, in the 3rd test Feb 2012
338, 15, for a win by 10 wkts, in the 1st Test Jan 2012
v Sri Lanka - 1 test, and they scored
403, 94, for a win by 9 wkts in the test, Oct 2011
v S.Africa - 1 test, and they scored
248, 343 for a draw.
So, it seems, Pak haven't lost a Test here, for over 4 yrs ..
I am thinking, given the trouncing they gave S.Africa is the 1st test, how they will bet, for the 2nd Test.
In the 1st test, it was , after the toss
Pak 7.4
SA 2.24
Draw 2.38
...
I imagine, they would be a great deal shorter, for Test 2 - maybe :
Pak 4.00
SA 3.00
Draw 2.5
98% book
Will be interesting ...
((forgot to add, Hashim Amla's wife may be havng 2nd child .. Hash, may go home))
////////////////////
Ok, so a day later, Pak won the 1st Test by 7 wkts, and the odds for Test 2 are out.
Currently, they are :
Pak 4.2
SA 2.32
Draw 2.98
Pak captain, has publicly said, he wants a result wkt - which may have had some influence ..
I wasnt far out .. and would be willing to back Pak, if they get much bigger.
Tuesday, 15 October 2013
1st Test - Pakistan v S.Africa - Abu Dhabi - Day 3
Walked in, just as Pak lose 4th wkt.
Pak 291-4 .. lead by 42 ..
Pak 1.72
SA 10
Draw 3.1
((Kallis took the catch, going 3rd on all time catchers list (195), on his 38th Birthday))
Book is still biased towards draw, and hope we see some slow scoring.
Drinks ..
302-4 .. lead by 53
Pak 1.73
SA 12
Draw 2.88 ..
Am backing SA/Draw .. more .. call me reckless ..
Caught a great wave ..
Draw crashes to 2.72 ..
Smith goes off, to see physio, after running for catch .. hope hes ok.
Pak speed up a bit ..
340-4
Pak 1.67
SA 19
Draw 2.80
With faster scoring, Draw flies out the window ..
Pak 1.61
SA 22
Draw 2.92
Almost lunch .. Satelite picture down ..
Lunch 352-4 .. Lead by 103
Smith back on, and looks fne (running for ball, on boundary)
Pak 358-4
Pak 1.61
SA 27
Draw 2.9
Wkt - leading edge
Pak 372-5 .. lead 123
Pak 1.65
SA 20
Draw 2.84
Pak slowing a bit ..
Pak 380-5
Pak 1.67
SA 18
Draw 2.88
Am laying Pak .. 1.67 .. for trade.
Drinks :
Pak 385-5
Pak 1.7
SA 19
Draw 2.74
caught another wave ...
Misbah gets maiden 100 against SA .. 394-5
and probably .. wkt, few balls later
Pak 394-6
Pak 1.69
SA 14
Draw 2.92
20 Mins to Tea :
Pak 418-6
Pak 1.63
SA 21
Draw 2.90
Pitch really slow .. middle-order playing classic shots .. still with Draw ..
Wkt - 423-7
Pak 1.67
SA 16
Draw 2.88
Wkt on Tea 429-8
Pak 1.68
SA 14
Daw 2.92
Hope SA bat soon afte tea,and 50-1 at the close .. Draw would be an interesting price ..
After Tea .. Pak look vulnerable :
Wkt : 437-9
Pak 1.66
SA 14
Draw 2.88
All Out -- 442 .. lead 193 .. gonna be an interesting final hr or so
Pak 1.74
SA 12
Draw 2.92
Run spreads for SA 336 .. which looks low to me, and am long, and am on Draw .. might be either beans on toast, or caviar ..
Smith unsighted 1st ball, and almost gets done LBW .. wot a start ..
SA 12-0
Pak 1.87
SA 9
Draw 2.82
Have great book ..
Irfan being warned for his follow-thru .. if he goes off ....
SA 19-0
Pak 1.83
SA 10
Draw 2.92
Ajmal already bowling ..
SA 23-0
Pak 2.0
SA 11
Draw 2.46
SA 25-0
Pak 2.14
SA 10
Draw 2.3
Pitch isnt as slow, as I thght, but, still v playable ..
Am now flat .. have taken profits ..
Wow .. just in time .
Wkt 38-1
Pak 1.70
SA 11
Draw 3.0
Draw went to 3.2 .. and I am dragged back in .. its too big ..
Drinks
SA 48-1 .. 145 behind
Pak 1.68
SA 10.5
Draw 3.05
With draw, but Green ....
Ajmal looking v good .. but, will need to bowl a lot of overs.
Am reducing pos with Draw ..
Wkt - Smith - Stumped
57-2
Pak 1.38
SA 12
Draw 4.6
Wkt - Kallis
58-3
Pak 1.20
SA 16
Draw 9
Looks cooked now .. Kallis had poor game, both with bat and ball ..
Flagging, at the end of a long day .. 3 Tvs showing ckt .. Need Aspirin
SA 72-3
Pak 1.29
SA 14
Draw 6.2
Flat .. tired ..
Amla goes .. SA 72-4
Pak 1.12
SA 20
Draw 14
Pak have played super ..
Monday, 14 October 2013
1st test - Pakistan v S.Africa - Abu Dhabi - Day 2
SA 245-9 ..
Pak 2.86
S.A 2.12
Draw 5.5
Book looking v sick, but, am staying with Draw .. probably should cut and run, but wont.
SA 249 all out ...
Pak 2.52
SA 2.36
Draw 5.7
Market has a re-think, before Pak bat :
Pak 2.64
SA 2.34
Draw 5.1
Run line for Pak .. 290 or so .. Betdaq down
Pak 11-0 and pitch seems docile again ..like it did yesterday ..
Mkt on Draw collapses !!!
Pak 2.46
SA 2.84
Draw 4.1
Market hates SA .. as pitch looks flat .. Draw taking all the SA money ..
Pak 12-0 after 3 ..
Pak 2.46
SA 3.15
Draw 3.8
..
Book looks a lot better ..
Kallis drops a chance, at slip ..Not easy, only just carried, v low.
Pak 20-0 after 5
Pak 2.38
SA 3.05
Draw 3.85
Think draw is going v low .. but, I have thght that, for a week ..
Pak 38-0 after 8
Pak 2.28
SA 3.45
Draw 3.6
At drink, Pak move on to 43-0 .. fast bowlers will feel the heat, if no wkts, v soon.
SA have no spinner .. Pak have Ajmal .. so, Pak can def win .. not sure, SA can.
Pak get to 50, unbeaten .. must be a docile pitch !!
Pak 2.1
SA 3.9
Draw 3.7
Lunch .. 77-0
A very pleasing morning .. time for coffee ..
Pak 2.14
SA 4.5
Draw 3.1
After a quiet lunch, Steyn resumes :
Pak 82-0
Pak 1.98 ?? Looks low to me, and am laying
SA 5.4
Draw 3.15
87-0 and pitch not doing much ..
Big move for Pak, which has me a little surprised.
Pak 1.83
106-0 ..
Pak 1.84
SA 7
Draw 3.05
129-0 after 42
Pak 1.68
SA 9.4
Draw 3.25
Am against Pak, and would like them to slow a bit/lose wkts ..
Wkt - finally -- 135-1
Pak 1.77
SA 7
Draw 3.3
Tea : 155-1
The market, on the whole, hasn't really panicked, or done anything, too jumpy.
I keep getting the impression, modellers are having more an impact.
Pak 1.72
SA 8.4
Draw 3.25
//////////////////////////////////
Betfair had some problems, so decided to go to sleep ..
At the close, Pak 263-3 .. lead by 14.
Pak 1.64
SA 11
Draw 3.35
3 days left, but, u would think, Pak get a lead of 150-200. SA would need to dig in, and score, maybe 400, for a draw, which, would not be beyond them .. just scared of Ajmal.
Prices look right, but, am with draw.
Sunday, 13 October 2013
1st Test - Pakistan v S.Africa - Abu Dhabi
Baking heat, road of a pitch .. (not as humid as Sharjah, but, still pretty hot).
Expecting draw to trade v low, and have backed at all prices, down from 3.4
Pre Toss :
Pak 5.5
S.Africa 2.3
Draw 2.58
...
Pitch looks browner than, the last time (when they played to 2 draws), and SA have won a v good toss, and bat.
(Misbah lost 8th consecutive toss .. world record, held by Sunil Gavasker - 9)
Pak have 2 spinners, who, will be a bit of a luxury now.
Pak 7.0
SA 2.16
Draw 2.48
Run line - 380 or so, which looks low to me .. am long runs.
///
Petersen ,, who I am not a fan of, goes early ..
SA 6-1 .. but, prices don't move a huge amount.
SA 14-1 after 5 .. Amla and Smith at crease
Pak 7.0
SA 2.30
Draw 2.38
...
Smith goes - 19-2 ..
Pak 5.0
SA 2.4
Draw 2.58
SA 28-2 after 10
Pak 5.7
SA 2.3
Draw 2.58
Drinks - 40-2
Pak 5.8
SA 2.32
Draw 2.48 ..
Once shine goes, and heat gets to bowlers, draw shud go much shorter .. with draw for now ..
Wkt - which, I didnt really see coming,as ball was seeming slower off the pitch .. Kallis goes
SA 43-3
Pak 4.0
SA 2.48
Draw 2.9
Lunch 66-3
Pak 4.2
SA 2.34
Draw 2.94
Am with draw, against SA .. but, long SA runs .. so, its tricky.
78-3 after lunch, and batting already seems a little easier.
Pak 4.8
SA 2.26
Draw 2.82
Good 50 for Hashim Amla .. 89-3
Pak 6.0
SA 2.14
Draw 2.66
Still with draw ..
Wkt - stumping .. but, just poor batting.
AB Dev 19 from 76 .. SA 104-4
Pak 4.0
SA 2.32
Draw 3.05
SA 129-4 .. Amla 63 from 119 so far
Pak 4.6
SA 2.18
Draw 3.00
I make draw, consistently, much lower .. and am still with draw ..
Tea -- 152-4
Pak 6.0
SA 2.08
Draw 2.82
after Tea, SA pick up scoring pace, a bit ..
SA 174-4
Pak 8
SA 2.02
Draw 2.62
Irfan goes off .. maybe cramp .. maybe injury .. heat doesnt help etc..
SA move on .. not the fastest .. 196-4 after 69
Pak 9.2
SA 1.92
Draw 2.66
Wkt - Duminy goes
SA 201-5
Pak 6.8
SA 2.02
Draw 2.78
Wkt - SA 206-6
Pak 4.1
SA 2.2
Draw 3.3
Wkt - SA 217-7
Pak 3.00
SA 2.24
Draw 4.6
Wkt - SA 222-8 .. and this is going pear shaped ..
Pak 2.98
SA 2.2
Draw 5.3
Run lines look sick,as do draw backs .. looking for a bridge ..
SA 245-8 .. 88 overs in
Pak 3.45
SA 2.08
Draw 4.3
End of a fascinating days play .. SA 245-8 .. Amla still unbeaten, on 118.
Pak 3.5
SA 2.08
Draw 4.3
Pak bowled great, and SA looked rusty/careless at times. Book looks sick, from where it was this morning .. should have stayed in bed .. but, have some hope ..
Monday, 10 June 2013
Game 5 - South AfrIca v Pakistan - Edgbaston
Amazing atmosphere in the stadium, with 20k people, of which 97% must have been Pakistan supporters, v many with flags.
Steyn did some light warm-ups, but, was never going to play, and its dubious if we shall see him, sometime soon. A great shame.
The contest was billed as the side who can't bowl (S.Africa),v the sideshow can't bat (Pakistan), which is a trifle unfair on S.Africa,but spot -on, re Pakistan.
S.Africa won the toss, and De Villiers decided to bat. It's interesting his, alleged fitness, doesnt seem a worry.
Eng scored a pedestrian 270 on the same ground 2 days ago, and a similar score should be enough for S.Africa to win the game.
Pakistan bowled well, with a couple of chances missed, and finally got to 238, which made it an even game, and gave the home supporters, much to shout about.
Unfortunately, the Pakistan reply was v pedestrian .. Something like 50 off the first 20 overs, 135 off 40, and with a mounting run-rate, lost more wickets, and the game.
Chris Morris is a fun player to watch. (Bowler for SA). I watched a few of his games in the T20 Champions trophy, and he was clearly v nervous, with many wides .. A feature he hasn't as yet, managed to totally eradicate. He got a surprising $650k contract for the IPL, and he is quickly maturing. It was fun to watch his 1st ball called a wide, but equally fun, to see wkts cart-wheeling out the ground, when he hits them. If S.Africa have injury worries with their fast bowlers, he's a v decent alternative.
There are many players you could point the finger at.
Pak now have no pints from 2 games, and its highly unlikely they can progress out of the group.The game at the same stadium on Saturday, v India will have a great atmosphere, whatever .. But, maybe will have a little less intensity for Pakistan, if that's possible.
The tournament as a whole is going fairly well. I do like quick tournaments, thou the travelling between venues, can be tedious. Crowds have been generally v good, and the Crickekeers .. Volunteer helpers, v friendly. Prices are not cheap, especially for food etc at the ground, but tickets are fairly well priced, at about £40 for a decent seat.
Most games involving Pak/India/England are full, and the website selling the tickets, works well, which is a pleasant change. I have seen touts outside grounds, but, it's v hard to police.
The ICC seem overly strict on people using tablets in the ground, with all being asked to put them away, fairly quickly. Anyone who thinks about using a laptop, soon changes his mind, which is fair enough .. It's too busy.
Thursday, 6 June 2013
Game 2 - Pakistan v W.Indies - Oval
It will be hard to tell which side is at home here, as its reasonable to think both sides will get v strong support, and the atmosphere, is entitled to be electric.
Hoping for a decent contest. Pakistan have a really good bowling attack,but, their batting has a few holes, and they need to someone restrict the Windies to no more than 300.
If they happen to bat first, and score 320 or so, u would think they would definitely win - thou, Gayle/Pollard etc,can, make a mockery of that.
The bookies can't decide with team is favourite, but its probably a huge toss to win (and bat).
Well, W.Indies won the toss, and decided to have a bowl.
Pakistan batting holes, caused massive leaks, and despite a good effort by the captain, Misbah .. They crawled to a poor total of 170.
As we said, they bowl v well, but its not a score to exert any pressure, and it will take a monumental effort by W.Indies to lose this one.
Almost .. Pakistan bowlers would win the Tourny for the team, if only they had 4 solid batters, who could make 230+ per game.
Fine effort by them, and the usual nervy stuff from Windies. Need a strong stomach, to follow these guys over a cliff.
Thursday, 30 May 2013
ICC Champions Trophy - Pakistand v Sri Lanka - Warm-up game - Edgbaston
My favourite ground .. which has had some drainage issues.
Game was supposed to start, was 12.45 .. some rain over the last few days, and we know unlucky .. some would say .. foolish, Edgbaston have been, installing new drainage.
Game was delayed, initially in 1hr chunks, and having previously been at games here, where games have gone this route, only to be called-off, I was dubious.
Especially, as its a warm-up, before a major competition, and players wont want to risk injury.
Finally, at about 4.30pm, 2 hrs before cut-off, the game was called off.
Disappointing.









