Saturday 29 December 2012

Big Bash - Sydney Thunder v Sydney Sixers - Sydney

Sydney local derby .. Gayles Thunder, winless and by many accounts, a disjointed, unhappy team, against the Sixers, who are a bit below par this yr, but, still pretty good.

Thunder win the toss, and elect to bat.

Sixers 1.79

Thunder 2.24

Same pitch as game a few days ago .. Less grass thou, and less seam than other nite. Short boundaries .. 58-60 metres, avg score here is low, as Thunder playing so bad .. 127 or so .. But avg generally 137 in last 10 games.

Gayle needs some runs .. Will it be tonite ?

Run line higher than averages .. About 153 ..



No position yet .. Lets watch Gayle, and see ..



Here we go .. Lee to open bowling



Thunder 3-0 after 1, Sixers 1.74

V odd .. Run-out, by a yard, but bails not dislodged .. So, not out .. Maybe lights are making bails heavier ..

Thunder 11-0 after 2, Sixers 1.75

Thunder 12-0 after 3, Sixers 1.68

Wkt - Rogers 3 from 9, Sixers 1.62

Thunder 16-1 after 4, Sixers 1.61

Pitch looks tricky, and batters all worried .. Am low on inngs runs, and have laid Thunder. Can be dangerous, with Gayle/Prior/Kuwaja .. But, that's my play.

Wkt - Gayle goes .. 7 from 15, Sixers 1.28 .. Huge result, for inngs runs.

Thunder 22-2 after 5, Sixers 1.28 .. Taken some green, on match odds.

Wkt - Prior 4 from 3, Sixers 1.18

Thunder 27-3 after 6, Sixers 1.14 .. Low enough, to lock in greens.

Wkt - Abbott, 1 from 5, Sixers 1.09. .. Shuda waited .. But happy.

Thunder 28-4 after 7, Sixers 1.09








Thunder 33-4 after 8, Sixers 1.11

Thunder 38-4 after 9, Sixers 1.11

Thunder 47-4 after 10, Sixers 1.14

Thunder 52-4 after 11, Sixers 1,12

Not got involved again ., still with run lines, under 140/150.

Wkt - Carters 10 from 17, Sixers 1.08

Pitch looks to have lotsa demons ...

Thunder 58-5 after 12, Sixers 1.07

Thunder 63-5 after 13, Sixers 1.07

Thunder 72-5 after 14, Sixers 1.08

Thunder 75-5 after 15, Sixers 1.09

Thunder 86-5 after 16, Sixers 1.11 ... If they get another 40 off last 4, might be a value lay.

Thunder 94-5 after 17, Sixers 1.12

Wkt - Keen 9 from 10, Sixers 1.10

Thunder 108-6 after 18, Sixers 1.14

Thunder 119-6 after 19, Sixers 1.21 ...have been laying Sixers from 1.14

Thunder finish on 132 - Khawaja much needed knock of 66 from 47, Sixers 1.26.



Have v nice book ..









Here's the reply ..



Gayle to open the bowling .. Went for 10, last game, when they tried this.

Had to back Sixers, on seeing this .. Am with Sixers.



Sixers 6-0 after 1, Sixers 1.20

Sixers 11-0 after 2, Sixers 1.15

Sixers 18-0 after 3, Sixers 1.15

Mkt expecting wkts .. Trying to go flat .. Thin mkts.

Wkt - Maddinson 7 from 12, Sixers 1.28

Wkt - Lumb 14 from 14, Sixers 1.46 .. Game on. 29-2 after 4.4

Sixers 30-2 after 5, Sixers 1.38

Sixers 35-2 after 6, Sixers 1.30. ... Gone flat .. Took a while ..

Sixers 47-2 after 7, Sixers 1.16

Sixers 55-2 after 8, Sixers 1.10

Sixers 61-2 after 9, Sixers 1.10 .. I think a twist is possible ..

Wkt - Haddin 18 from 15, Gayle winds up Haddin, and he holes out .. Sixers 1.18

Sixers 64-3 after 10, Sixers 1.20

Sixers 67-3 after 11, Sixers 1.23 ... Interesting game, all the batters say its a good wkt, but, no one really flying.

Sixers 71-3 after 12, Sixers 1.26 . Need 62 from 48

Sixers 76-3 after 13, Sixers 1.38 ..

Wkt - Smith 14 from 15, Sixers 1.54 .. This will be close, I like Thunder

Sixers 85-4 after 14, Sixers 1.60

Wkt - Henriques 7 from 2, Sixers 1.98. ...even game ... Need 44 from 34

Sixers 89-5 after 15, Thunder favs,1.87

Sixers 103-5 after 16, Sixers 1.33 .. Need 30 from 24

Sixers 117-5 after 17, Sixers 1.05 .. Need 16 from 18

Wkt - O'keefe 3 from 9, Sixers 1.18 .. Need 15 from 15

Fielding costing thunder .. Big time

Sixers 124-6 after 18, Sixers 1.05 .. Feel for Nannes

Sixers win ..



Had a good game.









Do wonder whether Thunder as a team, wont be totally re-worked .. they look v poor.




Big Bash - Perth Scorchers v Melbourne Renegades - Perth

Sad news about Tony Greig losing his battle with Lung Cancer. True great of the game .. Will be sorely missed.



So, the Renegades, unbeaten so far, play the Scorchers, who have 2 wins from 4 games.

Baking hot, as ever in Perth .. A lazy 40c.

Renegades win the toss, and decide to field.

Renegades 1.88

Scorchers 2.10

Scorchers run line - 154



Money seems to be with Scorchers .. Which, I find odd. Maybe they think home pitch will help their bowlers .. I don't like the batting, and am happy to be with Renegades at 1.91.



Here we go .. Gibbs (out of form) to face.

Scorchers 2-0 after 1, Renegades 1.74 .. Take a little profit.

Scorchers 11-0 after 2, Renegades 1.72

Scorchers 24-0 after 3, scorchers fav, 1.95 .. Gibbs playing better. Gone flat.

Scorchers 33-0 after 4, Scorchers 1.81 ..no position ..

Scorchers 37-0 after 5, Scorchers 1.90

Scorchers 51-0 after 6, (Gibbs 40 from 30) .. scorchers 1.72 .. No position

Scorchers 55-0 after 7, Scorchers 1.68

Scorchers 65-0 after 8, Scorchers 1.55 .. Can't take this price .. No position

Scorchers 75-0 after 9, Scorchers 1.54 .. Murali injured

Wkt - Gibbs 56 from 39, Scorchers 1.68

Scorchers 81-1 after 10, Scorchers 1.66 .. Backed Scorchers small, not too happy with it thou.

Scorchers 91-1 after 11, Scorchers 1.56 .. Looking like 170+

Scorchers 104-1 after 12, Scorchers 1.48 .. Laying 1.48 to get better avg

Scorchers 110-1 after 13, Scorchers 1.46 ..seems big price, but great deck

Scorchers 122-1 after 14, Scorchers 1.40 .. Laid more, so avg 1.60

Scorchers 128-1 after 15, Scorchers 1.41 .. Murali goes off, after bowling his 4, injured groin

Scorchers 138-1 after 16, Scorchers 1.41 .. Need 40 off last 4 for a 180 chase

Scorchers 149-1 after 17, Scorchers 1.42

Scorchers 170-1 after 18, Scorchers 1.33 .. Big score now ..

Scorchers 180-1 after 19, Scorchers 1.28

Wkt - Marsh 85 from 52, Scorchers 1.30

Scorchers finish on 187-3 .. Scorchers 1.36 .. A few ticks low for me, will go green.










Here's the reply



Renegades 8-0 after 1, Scorchers 1.38

Renegades 14-0 after 2, Scorchers 1.40

Wkt - Finch 8 from 8, Scorchers 1.21

Wkt - Samuels 0 from -, Scorchers 1.07 .. Hard to see em winning now.

Renegades 16-2 after 3, Scorchers 1.07

Renegades 24-2 after 4, Scorchers 1.06

Wkt - Harris 6 from 10 .. 24-3 after 4.1 .. Gonna call this, GSM and go to gym.










Friday 28 December 2012

T20 - India v Pakistan - Ahmedabad

Game 2, in the series, after Pakistand win a close one, on Christmas Day.



Some dew worries, so teams winning toss, may elect to field.

Pre-toss, India 1.73



Pakistan win the toss, and elect to field.

India 1.80.

India run line 164



India shorten to 1.74, at start time.



Here we go ..



India 7-0 after 1, India 1.68 .. Have a small back of India , on a good batting track.

India 17-0 after 2, India 1.56 ..

India 20-0 after 3, India 1.64 ..

India 31-0 after 4, India 1.59

Wkt - Gambhir 21 from 11, India 1.57, after having touched 1.43

India 44-1 after 5, India 1.55

India 48-1 after 6, India 1.61 .. Got v small book, with India


Wkt - Rahane 28 from 26, India 53-2 after 7.1 .. India 1.78 .. Gone flat for a small win.








India 53-2 after 7, India 1.79

Yuvraj hit on Toe .. May be injured .. He plays on ..

India 59-2 after 8, India 1.75 .. Rather be against them, at this price.

India 64-2 after 9, India 1.67

India 72-2 after 10, India 1.70

India 83-2 after 11, India 1.54 .. Looks right

Wkt - Kohli 27 from 22, run-out .. India 1.69

India 88-3 after 12, India 1.68

India 105-3 after 13, Afridi given treatment, not happy, India 1.44

India 110-3 after 14, India 1.51 .. This price is expecting 175+ .. All in the price, for me.

India 118-3 after 15, India 1.48

India 133-3 after 16, India 1.39

India 144-3 after 17, India 1.37

India 162-3 after 18, India 1.29

India 184-3 after 19, India 1.19 ... Yuvraj 72 from 35, as well as I have seen him play, since he returned.

Wkt - Yuvraj 72 from 26, India 1.21

Wkt - Dhoni 33 from 23, 187-5 after 19.9 . India 1.26

India 192-5 after 20, India 1.22








Got v small book, as have to go to gym ..





Big Bash 2012 - Sydney Thunder v Brisbane Heat - Sydney

Sydney still without a win, will be looking for Gayle to find some form.

Sydney win the toss, and elect to bat.

Avg 1st inngs score here, is 144.



Thunder 2.1

Heat 1.9

Run line for Thunder, is higher than the average .. At about 153



Initially, am happy to take on Thunder .. At about 2.06



Thunder 2-0 after 1, Heat fav 1.74 .. Gayle having a look ..

Thunder 8-0 after 2, Heat 1.74 .. Roach a bit wayward, with 3 wides ..

Thunder 13-3 after 3, Heat 1.71

Thunder 17-0 after 4, Heat 1.68

Gayle looks out of touch again .. Still against Thunder

Wkt - Rogers 6 from 14, Heat 1.50 .. Will take some profit

Thunder 17-1 after 5, Heat 1.52 .. Not a great start from Thunder .. Run line down to 137

Thunder 26-1 after 6, Heat 1.57

Thunder 30-1 after 7, Heat 1.53

Thunder 42-1 after 8, Heat 1.60

Thunder 52-1 after 9, Heat 1.70 .. Picking up, and Gayle now 28 from 27

Wkt - Gayle 28 from 28, Heat 1.43 .. Trying to take profit .. Betdaq v Illiquid today.

Wkt - Prior 17 from 15, Heat 1.33

Thunder 60-3 after 10, Heat 1.31

Thunder 68-3 after 11, Heat 1.38

Thunder 73-3 after 12, Heat 1.43

Wkt - Abbott 11 from 10, Heat 1.31 .. Got v green book, as liquidity on Betdaq, non-existent.

Thunder 77-4 after 13, Heat 1.29

Thunder 84-4 after 14, Heat 1.30

Wkt - Carters 4 from 6, 91-5 after 14.4 .. Heat 1.29

Thunder 93-5 after 15, Heat 1.31

Thunder 100-5 after 16, Heat 1.3;

Wkt - Khawaja, Heat 1.26

Thunder 107-7 after -7, Heat 1.26

Wkt - Tremain

Thunder 113-8 after 18, Heat 1.21

Thunder 119-8 after 19, Heat 1.18

Thunder finish on 126-9 .. Heat bowled well. On maybe a tricky wkt. Heat 1.19, which is a tad short for me.







Here's the reply ..



Heat 8-0 after 1, Heat 1.13

Heat 19-0 after 2, Heat 1.06

Heat 26-0 after 3, Heat 1.05

Wkt - Hopes 8 from 7, Heat 1.08

Wkt - Burns 0 from 4

Heat 26-2 after 4, Heat 1.22. Another wkt soon, and it's an interesting game

Heat 34-2 after 5, Heat 1.18

Heat 48-2 after 6, Heat 1.04. .. Pomersbach 24 from 19

Wkt - Christian 12 from 7 , might be a key wkt .. Heat 1.12

Heat 53-3 after 7, Heat 1.12

Heat 56-3 after 8, Heat 1.15 .. Need 70 off 96

Wkt - Pomersbach 28 from 25, Heat 57-4 after 8.2 .. Heat 1.30

Heat 60-4 after 9, Heat 1.28

Heat 69-4 after 10, Heat 1.16

Heat 79-4 after 11, Heat 1.08 .. Need 49 from 54

Wkt - Perera 7 from 8, Heat 87-5 after 11.4 .. Heat 1.10

Heat 88-5 after 12, Heat 1.12

Heat 91-5 after 13, Heat 1.11 .. Need 36 from 42 .. 1.10 looks big

Heat 108-5 after 14, Heat 1.01. . Need 19 from 36

Heat 111-5 after 15, Heat 1.01 .. Need 16 from 30 .. looks GSM

Heat 118-5 after 16, heat 1.00 .. Need 9 from 24








Had a decent game.

Sydney look under-achievers, especially with Gayle not 100%. Heat maybe should have won more than
2 games in the tourny.






Thursday 27 December 2012

Fiscal Cliff and Internet Gambling

It seems Poker is a popular game in Washington these days, and the fiscal cliff negotiations have a variety of players, with hands to play.

Harry Reid, is the Democratic leader in the Senate, and a long time proponent of gambling legislation (Not surprising, as he is Senator for Nevada) .. he has been trying to repeal the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act, (UIGA), and pass a new law, allowing it.

This is an uphill struggle, for many reasons, but, apparently, he now has enough votes, that a tacked on bill, to 'must-pass' legislation, would get through.

I just wonder, if he hasnt got a very important role to play in the Fiscal Cliff negotiations, and .. as a quid pro quo, wont slip in new Internet Gaming Law, under the radar.

I am long US companies, who would benefit from Internet Gaming. Its a long shot, but, they have arrived before.

Big Bash T20 - Adelaide Strikers v Melbourne Stars - Adelaide

BBL game 18 ..

Glorious day in Adelaide, no weather probs.

Stars win the toss, and elect to bat.



Stars 1.79

Strikers 2.26



Stars run line, 159. .. Avg 1st inns score here, 164



Big move on the toss, (or Lumpy), game now pick-em. .. And then, a move back for the Stars, now

Stars 1.82



Here we go ..



Stars 10-0 after 1, looks a decent pitch, as ever .. Stars 1.65

Stars 17-0 after 2, Stars 1.70. .. A tad short for me, but would like to back them, at 1.76+

Stars 25-0 after 3, Stars 1.62 .. May have missed boat, but .. That's the game .. No position yet.

Stars 41-0 after 4, Stars 1.42 .. Ship sailed .. No hum.

Wkt - Quinney 22 from 12, 46-1 after 5, Stars 1.55

Stars 46-1 after 5, Stars 1.54. .. No great entry point .. Still flat.

Stars 53-1 after 6, Stars 1.53 .. Like Stars, but can't take this price.

Stars 64-1 after 7, Stars 1.47

Stars 70-1 after 8, Stars 1.46

Stars 78-1 after 9, Stars 1.43 ... Still stuck on the sidelines ..

Stars 88-1 after 10, Stars 1.40 .. Got an entry point, at 1.50 .. Am with Stars

Stars 99-1 after 11, Stars 1.30 .. Took a little profit .. Avg 1.62 Stars

Wkt - Faulkner 10 from 11, Stars 1.32

Umpire may have missed 2 brushed glove wkts .. Bit hard to tell, but, some days, u get the calls u need.

Stars 102-5 after 12, Stars 1.35

Stars 116-2 after 13, Stars 1.27 .. Hodge 75 from 52 so far .. Had some luck, but good enuf

Stars 129-2 after 14, Stars 1.23 .. Taken more green .. Stars avg 1.9 ..










Wkt - Hodge 88 from 58, Stars 1.23 ..

Stars 142-3 after 15, Stars 1.24

Wkt - Hussey 17 from 11, Stars 1.30

Stars 145-4 after 16, Stars 1.32 .. Gone flat ..

Wkt - Maxwell - 11 from 5, Stars 1.30

Stars 157-4 after 17, Stars 1.30

Stars 163-5 after 18, Stars 1.35

Wkt - White 13 from 13, Stars 1.39 .. gone totally green.








Stars 170-6 after 19, Stars 1.40 .. think they might be a lay at this price.

Wkt - 171-7 after 19.2 .. Stars 1.44

Wkt - 174-8 after 19.5 .. Stars 1.44

Stars finish on 175-8 .. Stars 1.44 .. looks a lay to me, but, probably done for the game.


Pollard says score is about Par .. its what he would naturally say .. all depends on the big players .. Malinga bowling, Pollard, Ludemann, Klinger, Fergusen etc.



Here's the reply ..

Strikers 3-0 after 1, Stars 1.40

Strikers 12-0 after 2, Stars 1.47 .. I have to lay this price .. Small ..

Strikers 22-0 after 3, Stars 1.45 .. I have to lay some more ..

Strikers 34-0 after 4, Stars 1.52 .. Not sure why price isn't correcting more ..

Malinga on to bowl .. He's all class, but mkt expecting miracles.

Wkt - Klinger 14 from 13, Stars 1.33

Strikers 37-1 after 5, Stars 1.36 .. Wkt off last ball of Malingas over .. Not the best .. Still with Strikers

A lucky boundary, followed by a good 4, price back to pre-wkt

Strikers 49-1 after 6, (stars 53-1 at same stage), Stars 1.57 .. Still looks a lay, but have already laid, plenty.

Next ball, 6 .. Stars 1.70 .. Took some profit ...

Wkt - Ludeman 30 from 21, Stars 1.47

Strikers 57-2 after 7, Stars 1.42 .. Gone flat, as Malnga can be held back for Pollard.

Strikers 67-2 after 8, Stars 1.50 .. Good game .. Need 109 from 96

Wkt - Reardon 7 from 6, Stars 1.36 .. Pollard comes in ..

Strikers 71-3 after 9, Stars 1.29 .. Game v risky now, gone 100% flat.

Strikers 82-3 after 10, Stars 1.43 .. Malinga still got 3, otherwise, would be laying.

Strikers 84-3 after 11, Stars 1.44 .. Just seeing off the Malinga 2nd over, price went bigger !

Strikers 92-3 after 12, Stars 1.48

Strikers 96-3 after 13, Stars 1.38 .. Need 80 off 40

Strikers 100-3 after 14, Pollard can't hit slower balls .. Stars 1.21

Strikers 110-3 after 15, Malinga goes for 10, 1 left .. Stars 1.34 .. Need 13 an over.

Wkt - Fergusen 35 from 28, a slower ball again .. Stars 1.20

Pollard made to look stupid, by these slower balls ..

Strikers 115-4 after 16, need 61 from 24, Stars 1.15

Strikers 118-4 after 17, just stalled miserably .. Stars 1.03

Strikers 134-4 after 18, Stars 1.06 .. Need 41 off 12

Strikers 149-4 after 19, Stars 1.04 .. Need 27 from 6, really feel Strikers should have got these ..

Bowling new spinner Rose, at Pollard .. Brave

Strikers finish on 167-4 .. Short by 8, feel robbed.



2nd inngs lays, turned win into a loss .. Can happen ..






Wednesday 26 December 2012

T20 - S.Africa v N.Zealand - Port Elizabeth

So, the Boxing Day test, gets replaced by a T20, and the way it's worked out, it's a decider.

Some brief showers around, but, expect a full game.

A full N.Zealand side would be a match for this experimental SA side, and the SA pre match price, of 1.34, is a little bit disrespectful, to NZ.



SA win toss, and decide to bat .. They drop Levi ( no real surprise, and Justin Ontong, comes in).



Run line for SA 162



St George's park, is a fair ground to chase on. Initially, small lay of SA.



SA 1.40. (Small profit on early lay) .. Taken some green.



SA 2-0 after 1, (plumb LBW not given), SA 1.38

Wkt - Du Plessis 1 from 9. .. SA 1.56

SA 2-1 after 2, SA 1.58

SA 8-1 after 3, SA 1.60

SA 20-1 after 4, SA 1.50

Wkt - De Kock 2 from 4, SA 1.64. ... Novice type shot, from De Kock ..

SA 30-2 after 5, SA 1.56. .. Low enough ..

SA 36-2 after 6, SA 1.60 .. Still too short ..

SA 41-2 after 7, SA 1.62 .. Insane price ..

SA 49-2 after 8, Drop by Guptil .. SA 1.52

SA 58-2 after 9, SA 1.42 .. They been pretty lucky, with chances being missed .. NZ might pay ..

SA 63-2 after 10, SA 1.51

SA 71-2 after 11,SA 1.51

SA 84-2 after 12, SA 1.39 ..

SA 93-2 after 13, SA 1.32 .. NZ letting this slip a bit .. Gone flat ..

SA 99-2 after 14, SA 1.31

Wkt - Ontong 48 from 29, got tired in heat, after many 2's, they nicked .. SA 1.21

SA 116-3 after 15, SA 1.22

SA 131- 3 after 16, SA 1.18 .. Looking like a 175 chase .. Again .

Wkt - David's 68 from 50, SA 1.21

SA 138-4 after 17, SA 1.22

SA 147-4 after 18, SA 1.20

SA 165-4 after 19, SA 1.15 .. Horror over from Neesham, with 3 wides, 18 from it

SA 179-6 after 20, SA 1.12 .. Looks to many. To chase .. Got small book.







Here's the reply ..



Wkt - Nicol 5 from 3, NZ 6-1 after 4 balls, SA 1.08

NZ 7-1 after 1, SA 1.07

NZ 8-1 after 2, SA 1.07

NZ 14-1 after 3, SA 1.11

NZ 29-1 after 4, SA 1.18

NZ 38-1 after 5, SA 1.20

NZ 45-1 after 6, SA 1.21 .. At same stage SA 36-2 ...

Wkt - Guptil 24 from 20, SA 1.14

NZ 54-2 after 7, SA 1.14

NZ 55-2 after 8, SA 1.11 .. NZ getting behind rate, need 10.27 an over

Wkt - Mcslogger 25 from 22, NZ 1.04 .. GSM for me .

NZ 59-3 after 9, SA 1.03

Wkt - Munro 3 from 10, SA 1.01

NZ 64-4 after 10, SA 1.01

NZ 71-4 after 11, SA 1.02

NZ 80-4 after 12, SA 1.03. .. Need 100 from 48

Wkt - Franklin 16 from 13, Phangiso gets 3, after a rough debut .. SA 1.01

NZ 87-5 after 13, SA 1.01 .. Need 13.28 an over .. 93 from 42

Wkt - Neesham 12 from 10, SA 1.00

NZ 95-6 after 14, SA 1.00 ..

NZ 105-6 after 15, SA 1.00 ..

NZ 114-6 after 16, SA 1.00 ..

NZ 117-8 after 17, SA 1.00 ..

NZ 123-8 after 18, SA 1.00 ..

NZ 136-8 after 19, SA 1.00 .. Need 44 from 6

NZ 146-9 after 20










So, SA win the series, 2-1 .. Not sure it was that convincing, but, they are trying new players etc, and a few will hope they have chances of a permanent place. Levi looks in trouble .. Not sure where he goes from here .. Probably needs some time with a county side, and allow his talent to mature.



The test series awaits, and it's hard to look past the revamped SA side, which looks the best in the world. I fear some of the games could be over very early .. We shall see .. All roads lead to Cape Town, for the Jan 2 fixture.









Sunday 23 December 2012

T20 - S.Africa v N.Zealand - East London

Game 2, after the debacle that was Friday night.

Baking hot day ,,





Guptil back on the pitch training, so, looks to be over his stomach bug. NZ got a stronger side, and Morris is out for the series (SA) - Morkel plays, Steyn rested.

Pre-toss, SA 1.31



NZ win toss and elect to bowl .. Which is odd, on a pitch with average lights .. Of the 10 domestic games here this yr, 7 out of 10, won by side batting first.

Phangiso in for Morris, Morkel for Steyn.

Guptil looks to be back for NZ.

Run line for SA, 167



SA drift a tad, 1.32 .. Not really sure why .. I suppose Guptil/Boult, but wish they had batted.





SA 1-0 after 1 over, SA 1.43

SA 4-0 after 2, SA 1.46

SA 13-0 after 3, SA 1.35

Wkt - Levi 5 from 13, , SA 1.46

SA 15-1 after 4, SA 1.50

SA 28-1 after 5, SA 1.41

SA 37-1 after 6, SA 1.36

SA 40-1 after 7, SA1.37 .. Looks v short .. Run line dropped to 159

SA 50-1 after 8, SA 1.33 ... Still looks short to me

SA 54-1 after 9, SA 1.40 .. Good over of spin

SA 69-1 after 10, SA 1.29 .. David's just throwing bat, 47 from 31

SA 77-1 after 11, SA 1.25 .. Looks like a 160+ chase

Great catch .. Swirling behind, on boundary

Wkt - David's 55 from 38, SA 81-2 after 11.3 .. SA 1.30

SA 82-2 after 12, SA 1.29 .. Seems short, still

SA 89-2 after 13, SA 1.30 ..

SA 99-2 after 14, SA 1.29 ..run line, now 163

SA 108-2 after 15, SA 1.28 ..

Big over

SA 126-2 after 16, SA1.15 .. One light bank, died.

Delay of game .. Why they find a sparky ..






Back-up generator being started .. Been off for 10 mins, so far.

Still no sign if life, innings should have been over by now .. Not sure, if SA will bat again.



Lights coming back, after a good delay .. SA drifted to 1.33 in match odds, back to 1.22



19 overs a side, game. Resume 8.00pm local.

SA 138-2 after 17, SA 1.18

SA 156-2 after 18, SA 1.08

Wkt - Du Plessis 63 from 42, SA 161-3 after 18.3. SA 1.10

Wkt - Miller 33 from

Wkt - Hat-trick .. All caught .. SA 161-5 after 18.5 SA 1.13

SA finish on 165 .. D/L may adjust up ..SA 1.12



Think adjusted target is 169 - SA 1.14



Here's the reply ..

NZ start steadily, not the aggressive approach from Friday.

NZ 2-0 after 1, SA 1.08

NZ 5-0 after 2, Good over from Morkel, lotsa bounce .. SA 1.07 ... Choo-choo

NZ 14-0 after 3, SA 1.08

NZ 22-0 after 4, SA 1.12

NZ 32-0 after 5, SA 1.15

NZ 39-0 after 6, SA 1.19 .. Need 130 off 78, DL par, 55 at end next over

NZ 44-0 after 7, SA 1.14 .. DL par 63

NZ 55-0 after 8, SA 120 .. DL par 72

NZ 65-0 after 9, SA 1.28 .. Mkt wil really move soon, DL par 80

Wkt - Nicol 25 from 24, SA 1.34

NZ 76-1 after 10, SA 1.36 .. DL par 91

NZ 87-1 after 11, SA 1.52 DL par 99

NZ 101-1 after 12, SA 193 .. DL par 109




NZ 106-1 after 13, SA 1.91 .. NZ touched fav fr a breath .. DL par 118

NZ 124-1 after 14, NZ 1.26 .. DL par 127 .. Need 45 off 30

NZ 130-1 after 15, NZ 1.53 .. DL par 137 .. Might be close ..

NZ 139-1 after 16, NZ 1.31 .. DL par 147

Wkt- Off a no ball,

Wkt - Mcullum 17 from 15

NZ 149-2 after 17, NZ 1.57 .. Need 20 from 12, DL par 157

NZ 158-2 after 18, NZ 1.52 .. Need 11 off 6, 10 for a tie .. 1.20 a tie ..

NZ get up, needing 4 to win off the last ball .. fittingly, Guptil smacks it to the boundary, getting his ton, and finishes with 101 Not-Out.

Thats quite a chase, especially from a side, many (including me), had wrtten off .. just shows, what can happen in a T20 format.

All eyes now focus on Port Elizabeth, for the boxing day, decider.


....................................

I didnt post final P/L on this game, as had no time, before mkt closed. Won smalls.















Saturday 22 December 2012

T20 - India v England - Mumbai

2nd T20 .. At Mumbai, with v small boundaries, should be a big score game.

Pre-toss, India 1.58

Good toss to win, as some dew etc.

Eng win toss, and field.

India 1.68

England 2.48



India run line 163



Good carry, some swing .. Entitled to suit Eng.



India 5-0 after 1, India 1.67

Wkt - Rahane 3 from 5, 7-1 , India 1.96

India 7-1 after 2, India 1.98

India 13-1 after 3. India 1.86 ... India look a big price, but ball moving .. Maybe wait 1 more over, before backing them.

India 24-1 after 4, India 1.68 .. Back to SP. Have a small position on India.

India 39-1 after 5, bad over by Meaker .. India 1.48

Free hit from Luke Wright no-ball

India 58-1 after 6, India 1.34







Wkt - Kohli 38 from 20, 64-2, India 1.47

India 65-2 after 7, India 1.48

India 71-2 after 8, India 1.48

Wkt - Yuvraj 4 from 5, India 1.66. 71-3 after 8.1

India 77-3 after 9, Engs extras 12 so far .. Poor .. India 1.54

India 86-3 after 10, India 1.45

Wkt - Gambhir 17 from 27, India 1.64

India 89-4 after 11, India 1.70

India 93-4 after 12, India 1.71

India 99-4 after 13, India 1.72. .. A lot of Dew on outfield.

India 108-4 after 14, India 1.58 .. Am laying this price.





Lol .. Wkt next ball

India 108-5, 14.1 .. India 1.82

India 114-5, after 15 .. India 1.85 .. Think it's a lay.

India 123-5 after 16, some great fielding by Eng .. India 1.73

20 off Meaker over again ..

India 143-5 after 17, India 1.33

India 161-5 after 18, India 1.28. .. Shirt boundaries, mkt getting carried away, but 190 is poss.

Wkt - Dhoni 38 from 18, great knock .. 168-6 .. India 1.31

India 169-6 after 19, India 1.36

Wkt - Ashwin 1 from 3, India 1.42

India finish on 177-7 , India 1.39



Taken green, but think Eng might get close







Here's the reply :



Stat : India never lost a T20 international, having scored 170 or more, in first inns (cricket record)

Stat 2 : Eng never chased 175.

Eng 12-0 after 1, India 1.62

Pitch getting repairs with hammer .. Delaying tactics, as Eng score 4.6.

Eng 25-0 after 2, India 1.82

Hales dropped on boundary .. A sitter really.

Eng 34-0 after 3, India 1.96

Eng 40-0 after 4, Eng fav 1.90

Eng 49-0 after 5, Eng fav 1 80 .. Really slow for a T20 .. India taking forever.

Eng 62-0 after 6, Eng 1.58

Eng 68-0 after 7, Eng 1.63. .. This is a great platform, 1.63 looks attractive, till u see stas, of India never lost/Eng never won .. Dew maybe difference

Eng 79-0 after 8, Eng 1.38 .. Am with Eng .. Need 99 from 72

Wkt - stumped Lumb 50 from 34, Yuvraj strikes, Eng 1.60

Eng 81-1 after 9, Eng 1.72 ..

Eng 90-1 after 10, Eng 1.50 .. Gone flat ..

Wkt - Wright 5 from 10,

Eng 94-2 after 11, India favs 1.94

Eng 103-2 after 12, Eng favs 1.71 .. Need 75 from 84

Eng 109-2 after 13, Eng favs 1.71 .. Need 69 from 42

Eng 119-2 after 14, Eng 1.44 .. Need 58 from 36, shud be easy ...

Wkt - Hales 42 from 33, India favs .. I agree ..123-3 after 14.4

Eng 127-3 after 15, Eng favs 1.74 .. Need 51 from 30

Eng 134-3 after 16, Eng favs 1.84

Eng 141-3 after 17, India favs 1.86 .. Volatile as all hell .. Gone flat

Need 37 from 18 ..

Dhoni gives Dinda the ball .. He likes to test players, in tight situations .. Which I agree with.

Wkt - Patel 9 from 10, India 1.48 .. Tie is a runner, need 29 from 13

6 next ball

Eng 155-4 after 18, eng fav .. 1.84 need 23 from 12

Eng 169-4 after 19, Eng 1.08 .. Need 9 from 6

Need 7 from 4, Eng 1.38 .. Tie 1.16

Need 4 from 2, Eng 154 ..

Need 3 from 1, India fav 1.70 .. Tie 1.44 ...

Eng win off last ball ..

Won a bit ..







Big Bash - Melbourne Renegades v Brisbane Heat - Melbourne

Weather looks ok, should be a high scoring game.



Etihaad stadium .. Spinners have a good time here.

Pre-toss, Renegades 1.80

Heat win the toss, and elect to bat

Renegades 1.85

Run lime for Heat - 152

Heat will be hoping for a good start, from the likes of Pomersbach, Hopes, Vhristian and Lynn.

Renegades have the best player in the world .. Marlin Samuels, with Pattinson/Murali .

Here we go :



Heat 5-0 after 1, Heat go fav 1.99 ... Am with Heat

Heat 8-0 after 2, Renegades fav, 1.92. .. Pitch taking spin - dropping pitch.

Wkt - Hopes 5 from 9, Renegades 1.98

Heat 19-1 after 3, Renegades 1.97

Heat 24-1 after 4, Renegades 1.81

Wkt - Pomerbach run-out, 18 from 14, 24-2 .. Renegades 1.55

Got red book ..

Wkt - Christian 2 from 5, 27-3 .. Renegades 1.38

Heat 31-3 after 6, Renegades 1.40

Heat 39-3 after 7, Renegades 1.43

Heat 48-3 after 8, Renegades 1.48

Heat 52-3 after 9, Renegades 1.52 .. Have left red book, little tinkering.

Heat 62-3 after 10, Renegades 1.58 .. 20 more quick runs, and price will really move, .. Gonna sit tight.

Heat 73-3 after 11, Renegades 1.72 .. Murali bowled good, still went for 11

Wkt - Burns 13 from 20, Renegades 1.73 .. Hit 1.93, after a 4, then wkt.

Wkt - Perera 38 from 24, 2 in 2, Renegades 1.42

Heat 79-5 after 12, Renegades 1.38

Wkt - Lynn 0 from 1, Renegades 1.24 .. Heat imploding.

Heat 81-6 after 13, Renegades 1.21

Heat 88-6 after 14, Renegades 1.28

Heat 92-6 after 15, Renegades 1.29 .. Heat need to find 40 runs at least, in the last 5

Heat 102-6 after 16, Renegades 1.33

Wkt - Forrest 9 from 13, Renegades 1.26 .. 104-7

Heat 107-7 after 17, Renegades 1.29

Heat 112-7 after 18, Renegades 1.26

Heat 126-7 after 19, Renegades 1.33

Heat 134-7 after 20, Renegades 1.28



Looks short, but, pitch maybe a bit slow.

Half-way .. sorry, book.







Here's the reply :



Renegades 5-0 after 1, Renegades 1.25

Renegades 7-0 after 2, Renegades 1.25

Renegades 12-0 after 3, Renegades 1.27

Renegades 21-0 after 4, Renegades 1.21. .. Doing it easy, even thou Harris out of touch.

Wkt - Harris 10 from 18, Renegades 1.39

Renegades 24-1 after 5, Renegades 1.46 .. Samuels comes in, if they get him early, even game.

Renegades 30-1 after 6, Renegades 1.38

Renegades 34-1 after 7, renegades 1.51

Renegades 38-1 after 8, Renegades 1.53

Renegades 41-1 after 9, Renegades 1.70 .. Re-laid Renegades at 1.45, will reduce that exposure a bit

Renegades 49-1 after 10, Renegades 1.63

Run-rate required picking up .. 8.70's needed ..

Renegades 59-1 after 11, a big 6, last ball .. Renegades 1.40

Wkt .. Finch 33 from 34, Renegades 1.85

Renegades 62-2 after 12, Renegades 1.82

Wkt - Samuels 15 from 18, Heat 1.50.



Taking Profits







Renegades 66-3 after 13, Heat 1.40

Renegades 73-3 after 14, Heat 1.55

Renegades 83-3 after 15, Heat 1.51 ..

LUMPY not sure .. Need 51 from 30

Renegades 88-3 after 16, Heat 1.40

Big over from Cooper .. 13 off 5, need 31 from 19

Renegades 102-3 after 17, Renegades fav 1.81

Roach back on .. .. 1st ball .. 6

Wkt - Cooper 29 from 15, 108-4, 16 balls left .. Need 26, Renegades 1.72

Roach goes for another 6, need 18 from 13 ..

Renegades 120-4 after 18, Renegades 1.08 . Need 14 from 12

Renegades 133-4 after 19, Renegades 1.00 Need 1 to win.



Greened up a bit, but, maybe left it late .. Was winning a mine on Heat.








Friday 21 December 2012

T20 - S.Africa v N.Zealand - Durban

The first game of the series,which includes 3 T20,s, 2 tests, and 3 ODI's.

N.Zealand have suffered some injuries to key players, and the likes of Taylor, Dettori, Southee, Ryder are missing.

There is a lot of discord in the NZ camp, following Taylor's removal as captain, replaced by Mcullum.

They got drilled by S.Africa, when they played in N.Zealand, back in March, and it's hard to believe even an experimental squad for S.A., will not be far too good - especially on the tests.





















Anyway .. Of the 8 T20's played, S.A have won 6.

S.A squad is missing its top 10 run scorers, but Levi at 11, plays.

Weather in Durbs has been v wet over the last 2 mths, but yesterday was clear, and no probs are expected for today.





S.africa have a new batting line-up, with the likes of De Kock, Du Plessis, Levi, Berhardien, Miller , David's ... The bowling looks weaker, but N Z only have Guptil and Mcslogger, so, SA look too strong.

Pre-Toss

S.Africa 1.37



Gorgeous day in Durban .. NZ win toss and bat ..



( No Guptil .. Stomach complaint ..)

Some talk, a few others in NZ side, have it, as well.

SA 1.31

Run line, about 141



Gonna be hard work for Mcslogger .. Hope he shows some discipline .. If he gets out early, could be v uncompetitive.

I am with SA.


NZ 5-0 after 1, SA 1.28

NZ 9-0 after 2, SA 1.28

Wkt - nicol 3 from 5 .. SA 1.21

NZ 14-1 after 3, SA 1.24

Wkt - Fulton 9 from 13, SA 1.19

NZ 19-2 after 4, SA 1.18

Wkt - Mcslogger 6 from 11 .. Wot a lot of shit this is .. No change from NZ .. SA 1.09

NZ 19-3 after 5, SA 1.07

NZ 27-3 after 6, SA 1.10

Wkt - Franklin ... SA 1.05

NZ 33-4 after 7, SA 1.07

Wkt - Anderson 5. ... SA 1.04

NZ 36-5 after 8, SA 1.04

Wkt - Mcullum 1 .. Fine. Effort .. SA 1.02

NZ 37-6 after 9, SA 1.02 ...

NZ 51-6 after 10, SA 1.03

Wkt - Neesham 10 from 7, SA 1.02

SA 54-7 after 11, SA 1.02

Wkt - Munro , NZ 60-8 after 12 ... No words ..

NZ 60-8 after 12, SA 1.01

NZ 62-8 after 13, SA 1.01

NZ 64-8 after 14, SA 1.01

NZ 66-8 after 15, SA 1.01

NZ 79-8 after 16, SA 1.01

NZ 81-8 after 17, SA 1.01

Wkt - Hira 5 from 13, SA 1.01

NZ 86-9 after 18, SA 1.01

NZ 86 all out ... Something in NZ cricket, is not right ...

86 is apparently the 3rd lowest international T20 score, ever ...


Here's the reply.



Wkt - Levi 0 from 5, SA 1.02

SA 0-1 after 1, SA 1.02

SA 9-1 after 2, SA 1.01

SA 13-1 after 3, SA 1.01

SA 25-1 after 4, SA 1.00

NZ fielding is just shocking .. Much like team under-performances, all yr. Lucky to have beaten Zimbabwe, IMHO.

SA 41-1 after 5, SA 1.00 .. This won't take long.

Wkt - David's 20 from 13, SA 1.00

SA 46-2 after 6, SA 1.00

SA 57-2 after 7, SA 1.00

SA 61-2 after 8, SA 1.00

SA 62-2 after 9, SA 1.00

SA 65-2 after 10, SA 1.00

SA 74-2 after 11, SA 1.00

SA 85-2 after 12, SA 1.00. Need 2 from 64 balls

SA win .. In 12.2 ..





That's one if the most one-sided T20 games I have had the misfortune to watch, all yr. SA are a new side, made to look like World Champs.



Won smalls, will post pic later.














Thursday 20 December 2012

T20 - India v England - Pune

And so, the one day games begin.

Pre-toss,

India 1.60

Eng 2.62



India win the toss, and elect to field.

Eng run line, 152.



Here we go.

Eng 9-0 after 1, India 1.72. ... Am with Eng ..

Eng 9-0 after 2, India 1.66 ... Good over of spin, Lumb couldn't deal with

Eng 21-0 after 3, India 1.72 .. hales 19, Lumb 1, both faced 9 balls

Wkt - Lumb - no loss, 1 from 10, India 1.58

Eng 27-1 after 4, India 1.61

Eng 39-1 after 5, India 1.73 .. Hales 31 from 16, still with Eng.

Eng 51[ after 6, Eng fav 1.97 .. Hales having a dream game .. Will take some green

Eng 66-1 after 7, Eng 1.67 .. Hales / Wright playing super

Eng 76-1 after 8, Eng 1.64 .. Taken more green.

Eng 81-1 after 9, Eng 1.59

Eng 89-1 after 10, Eng 1.58

Wkt - Wright 34 from 20, 89-2 .. Eng 1.72

Eng 92-2 after 11, Eng 1.82 .. Gone flat .. Eng stalling, on good pitch.







Eng 98-2 after 12, Eng 1.84

Wkt - Hales 56 from 35 .. India fav 1.89

Wkt - Morgan 5 from 9, .. India 1.54

Eng 101-4 after 13, India 1.50 ...

Eng 106-4 after 14, India 1.59

Eng 113-4 after 15, India 1.60

Eng 117-4 after 16, India 1.46  .. am largely done with this game ..

Eng 123-4 after 17, India 1.47

Eng 138-4 after 18, India 1.59

Wkt - Patel 24 from 22, Eng 138-5 after 18.2 .. India 1.52

Wkt - Bresnan 0 from 1, Eng 139-6 after 18.4 .. India 1.42

Eng 140-6 after 19, India 1.34

Typical whip-saw T20 game .. u gotta catch sections of the game right, or u get burned.

Eng finish on 157-6 .. India 1.48  .. looks right, if anything, a bit low.


A great start from Eng, with Hales/Wright/Patel/Butler having good games, Bresnan has a yr to forget.


Heres the reply :

3 wides so far, in the 1st over .. but price hasnt moved much.

And then, poor line from Dernbach, and easy 4.

India 9-0 after 1, India 1.44

Bresnan bowls a wide .. to add to his duck .. must have low confidence.

Bresnan horror .. 1wd . 6 1 4  .. its hard bowling 9 ball overs .. India 21-0

India 21-0 after 2, India 1.24

Not tinkered with my position, and have people coming round, so, will have to leave shortly.

I almost seen enough .. Eng bowling, v avg.

Garbage .. 36-0 after 2.5  .. India 1.11

India 37-0 after 3, India 1.13

Goodnite all ..  had a decent game.









Big Bash 2012 - Sydney Thunder v Adelaide Thunder - Sydney

Thunder win the toss, and elect to field.

Run line, about 148

Thunder fav .. 1.92 .. Chasing sides, have won all games so, far this yr.

Strikers 10-0 after 1, Strikers 1.88

Strikers 15-0 after 2, Strikers 1.88

Strikers 20-0 after 3, Strikers 1.89 .. Solid enough start .. Looks a 160 pitch.

Strikers 25-0 after 4, Strikers 1.89

Strikers 37-0 after 5, Strikers 1.78

Strikers 46-0 after 6, Strikers 1.67 .. Looks low enough .. Got small book for now

Strikers 51-0 after 7, Strikers 1.69

Strikers 54-0 after 8, Strikers 1.75 .. Good over, from new spin bowler, Zampa

Strikers 67-0 after 9, Strikers 1.60

Strikers 75-0 after 10, Strikers 1.54

Strikers 80-0 after 11, Strikers 1.62

Wkt - Ludeman 46 from 39, Strikers 1.70

Strikers 84-1 after 12, Strikers 1.78 .. Pitch maybe 2 paced ..

Strikers 90-1 after 13, Strikers 1.81 .. Need to kick on

Strikers 100-1 after 14, Strikers 1.73

Strikers 115-1 after 15, Strikers 1.50

Strikers 138-1 after 16, Strikers 1.31

Wkt - Reardon 42 from 20, 148-2 from 16.5 .. Pollard comes in .. 1.32

Strikers 149-2 after 17, Strikers 1.33

Wkt - Klinger 60 from 46, Strikers 1.33

Wkt - Doropolous 0 from 2, Strikers 1.42 .. Price v short.

Strikers 154-4 after 18, Strikers 1.39

Strikers 173-4 after 19, Strikers 1.25 .. Pollard 16 from 5, so far ..

Wkt - Pollard 16 from 7, Strikers 1.31 ... Low enough .. Gayle for Thunder

Wkt - Fergusen 0 from 1, good death bowling from Dirk Nannes

Strikers 177-6 after 20, Strikers 1.31 .. All about Gayle now.

 

Got fair book, at half-way

 

 

 

Here's the reply ..

8-0 after 1, Strikers 1.39

11-0 after 2, Strikers 1.41 ..

Wkt - Cosgrove 8 from 7, Strikers 1.25

Thunder 13-1 after 3, Strikers 1.22

Thunder 16-1 after 4, Strikers 1.23

Wkt - Mahmood - 1 from 7, Strikers 1.14 .. Tait bowling well ..

Thunder 27-2 after 5, Strikers 1.23

Thunder 34-2 after 6, Strikers 1.22

Thunder 39-2 after 7, Strikers 1.21 .. Gayle 8 from 17, so far ....

Wkt - Gayle goes to Pollard , 8 from 19, Strikers 1.07 GSM

Thunder 48-3 after 8, Strikers 1.08

Thunder 54-3 after 9, Strikers 1.07

Wkt - 56-4 after 9.2 .. Strikers 1.03

Thunder 58-4 after 10, Strikers 1.02

Thunder 63-4 after 11,Strikers 1.92

Wkt - 63-5 Strikers 1.01

Wkt - 65-6 Strikers 1.00

Thunder 65-6 after 12, Strikers 1.00

Thunder 71-6 after 13, Strikers 1.00

Thunder 88-6 after 14, Strikers 1.00

Thunder 99-6 after 15, Strikers 1.00

Thunder 113-6 after 16, Strikers 1.01

Wkt - 115-7 after 16.3

Wkt - 115-8 after 16.4

Thunder 115-8 after 17, Strikers 1.00

Thunder 124-9 after 18, Strikers1.00

All over ...

 

Strikers win, .. Won a bit.

Wednesday 19 December 2012

Industry roundup

A very good blog, www.sportismadeforbetting.com, by Scott Ferguson, has a great write-up on the state of the industry :

http://www.sportismadeforbetting.com/2012/12/the-regular-industry-roundup.html

Makes some v good points about 2 favorite topics of mine, US gaming legislation, and Betfair trading outlooks.

Well worth a look.

(Betfair share price, down to £7.22, from £7.70, when half-yr tradng results came out, a week ago).


Big Bash - Melbourne Renegades v Hobart Hurricanes - Docklands

Covered roof, so, no problems with rain.

Renegades won the toss, and elected to field.

Hurricanes 1.88

Renegades 2.14

Run line - 162

Renegades had 2 fairly day games, but Hurricanes will be harder. All games in this league, have been won by chasing sides so far .. This, might be different.

Am with the Hurricanes, early.

Here we go :

Hurricanes 6-0 after 1, Hurricanes 1.72 ..

Lumpy looks to be with Hurricanes ...

Hurricanes 16-0 after 2,Hurricanes 1.59 .. This is too low, so have taken Green. Lumpy really distorts some mkts.

Hurricanes 19-0 after 3, Hurricanes 1.68 .. Price better, but can't be with them, at this price.

Wkt - Payne 5 from 9, Hurricanes 1.88 21-1 after 3.3

Hurricanes 22-1 after 4, lumpy love has Hurricanes fav at 1.98 .. Not for me.

Hurricanes 25-1 after 5, Renegades 1.90 .. Am with Renegades

Wkt - Birt 5 from 7, 27-2 after 5.2 .. Renegades 1.63

Hurricanes 30-2 after 6, Renegades 1.64

Hurricanes 35-2 after 7, Renegades 1.63 .. Looks poor start, on a 170 pitch.

Hurricanes 45-2 after 8, Renegades 1.66 .. 6 from Ricky, then 4 past keeper.

Wkt - Ricky - 25 from 24, 46-3 after 8.2 .. Renegades 1.52 .. Poor choice of shot, reverse sweep a ball from Murali ... Not easy ..

Hurricanes 47-3 after 9, Renegades 1.47. .. Gone flat.

Wkt - Bailey - 2 from 3, 50-4 after 9.2 .. Renegades 1.31

Hurricanes 50-4 after 10, Rengades 1.33

Wkt - Styris - 1 from 2, 51-5 after 10.1 . Murali !! Renegades 1.20

Hurricanes 57-5 after 11, Renegades 1.24 .. Using some green, to lay Renegades ..

Hurricanes 61-5 after 12, Renegades 1.28

Wkt - 62-6 after 12.5 .. Renegades 1.20

Hurricanes 64-6 after 13, Renegades 1.20

Hurricanes 69-6 after 14, Renegades 1.18 .. Need to find 130 from somewhere.

Hurricanes 75-6 after 15, Renegades 1.22 .. Laying Renegades small.

Wkt - 75-7 after 15.5 .. Well bowled by Samuels .. 1.16

Hurricanes 78-7 after 16, Renegades 1.18

Hurricanes 81-7 after 17, Renegades 1.15

Wkt - Shah 14 from 28 .. Poor .. Renegades 1.09

Hurricanes 86-8 after 18, Renegades 1.09

Wkt 87-9 .. Renegades 1.07

Hurricanes 93-9 after 19, Renegades 1.08

Hurricanes finish on 102-9 .. renegades 1.09



Another low score. One reason why the chasing side, is winning so many (all) games this yr. - average 20 over score last hr, was 162. This yr, it's 125. Small sample, but..

Renegades 10-0 after 1, Renegades 1.06

Wkt - Harris 3 from 6, Renegades 1.13. 10-1 after 1.5

Renegades 10-1 after 2, Renegades 1.14

Renegades 20-1 after 3, Renegades 1.07

Renegades 27-1 after 4, Renegades 1.06

Wkt - Samuels 21 from 9, Renegades 1.06 .. 40-2 after 4.4

Renegades 44-2 after 5, Renegades 1.04

Renegades 50-2 after 6, Renegades 1.03

Renegades 65-2 after 7, Renegades 1.01



Game looks over, pitch not that bad, Hurricanes just batted poorly.



Wkt - Rorher 18 from 10 ... Is there a twist ? Still 1.01

Renegades 71-3 after 11, need 32 from 72, 1.01

Renegades 78-3 after 12, need 25 from 66, 1.00

Renegades 81-3 after 13, need 22 from 60, 1.00

Renegades 87-3 after 14, need 16 from 54, 1.00

Renegades 97-3 after 15, need 6 from 48, 1.00



Renegades win. ..



I had a good position, but, gave most of it back .. No harm done.





Tuesday 18 December 2012

Big Bash 2012 - Brisbane Heat v Perth Scorchers - Brisbane

Some rain around, and v humid.

Probably get a shortened game.




































Pre-toss, Heat 1.80 .... Scorchers win the toss, Heat drift to 1.90

without Voges (batter).

Run line .. rain affected 153

I think scorchers have been playing poorly, but, managed a win last time out, so, maybe can get a run together.

The weather map, doesn't look too bad .. CMM 1.34



Ball swinging early, but no rain yet. Start on time.

Wkt - Pomersbach 0 from 1, Scorchers 1.85

Lumpy likes Scorchers ... He's right.

Wkt - Hopes 5 from 4

Heat 5-2 after 1 over, Scorchers 1.57

Heat 15-2 after 2 overs, Scorchers 1.66 ... V fast outfield.

Heat 19-2 after 3 overs, Scorchers 1.77

Wkt - Burns 10 from 8, Scorchers 1.53

Heat 20-3 after 4, Scorchers 1.54

Heat 28-3 after 5, Scorchers 1.51

Heat 29-3 after 6, Scorchers 1.53

Heat 45-3 after 7, Scorchers 1.73. .. Chris Lynn, scoring 6.4.4

Heat 50-3 after 8, Scorchers 1.64

A few drops .. No fav, on CMM

Heat 68-3 after 9, Heat fav 1.98 ... CMM 1.8 No

Heat 81-3 after 10, Heat 1.63

Heat 97-3 after 11, Heat 1.34. CMM 1.80 No

Wkt - Lynn 51 from 28, great knock .. Heat 1.46 .. CMM 1.8 No

Heat 103-4 after 12, Heat 1.45

Heat 109-4 after 13, Heat 1.60 .. CMM 1.71 No .. Rain all around.

Off they go .. Lightning in background. Heat 1.67

If they don't come back,DL targets would be about :

51 from 5, 70 from 7, 88 from 9, 104 from 11.

Heavy band of rain going thru, but,better behind that. I think they will get back on, to finish.

8.00 local .. Radar looks much better, cut-off prob 9.30 .. CMM 1.43 Yes

Cut-off 9.12 local.

8.23 local, and umps out, but, v light rain, comes again. Radar is v positive, so, thou there's not that much time, still v hopeful. 1.64 Yes on CMM

8.33 local and light rain, which is not on radar. CMM no, went 1.6 fav, now Yes fav.

Some v jumpy moves, but CMM yes, now 1.40.. 8.45 local. Match odds, Heat 1.73

Looks like a 7 over chase .. Maybe 67 or so, even game, IMHO.



Sme v odd moves in this game .. For a protracted stop, the Heat was a freeish lay at 1.6x, chasing sides, who have 5 overs, always favoured.



Anyway, playt to resume at the cut-off, 9.12 .. Perth need 51.

Perth fav 1.74

Gibbs faces .. Looking past his prime.

Scorchers 5-0 after 1, Gibbs past it .. Thou Roach was quick.

Scorchers 16-0 after 2, Gibbs still past it.

Wkt - Gibbs caught on boundary , 9 from 9, in a 5 over chase isn't good enough.

Scorchers 22-1 after 3, Heat 1.30

Scorchers 43-1 after 4, scorchers 1.21 .. Need 8 from 6 .. Shows u now bad Gibbs was (Coulter-Nile hits 23 from 6 balls)

Scorchers win ..with 4 balls to spare .. odds go from 1.2 Heat, to 1.2 Scorchers, in 6 balls.

Won on both CMM and Match odds .. Happy days

On reflection, it also shows, how contrived D/L is .. chasing 51 in 5, with no regard to wkts, is just too easy a chase for the majority of sides .. the only question really, is how Heat stayed at 1.6x for so long, when it was known, a longly delay/DL chase was in the offing.



Monday 17 December 2012

Stock portfolio - outlook

What to do with spare resources, is a theme not many have the need to contemplate.

It's fairly clear, if you are paying 10% paying interest on a mortgage, then, unless you have significant reasons to believe you can beat the market by at least 12%, you would be far better paying surplus monies into these debts, than going chasing other opportunities.

However, property .. And in particular, which location of the property, is not clear for many people, as this world gets smaller, so .. I do own a few shares.

My chief holding is Google, as I believe it has, as was once described, "the biggest moat, of any company". In my view, it has no competitors, and have been holding the shares, for over 7 yrs, from $400 up. It's now $700. For me, it's a long term hold.

I am very anti Gold, and have made significant losses/profits, over the last few yrs, as it traded upwards. At $1700 an ounce, I am a seller, but, understand, everyone has a diverse view.

I like smart phone providers, and picked up both Nokia and Research in Motion (blackberry), at distressed levels, a few months ago. They have made good returns, and have v important product launches in the new year. If they go well, the stocks will flourish, if not, in all likelihood, all they have left, are the patents.

Markets fluctuate, but, have a positive outlook for next year.

I will update my portfolio here, from time to time, but, everyone should do their own research .. And invest accordingly - consulting their financial advisor etc.

India v England - 4th test - Day 5 - Nagpur

Be v surprised if I bother to get up for this bore vest, but, hey, it's what sad do,s do, so, we will see.

Hard to see a result, unless England lose 2/3 wkts quickly, and gets the shits.

Not sure India deserve anything, and full credit should be given to Eng for over achieving in this series.

 

As expected, Match Drawn ..

Won on the game, but, it was hard on the body. Congrats to England.

Saturday 15 December 2012

India v England - 4th Test - Day 4 - Nagpur

Overnight, Mr Draw has found some love, and prices now, are

India 3.65

Eng. 6.4

Draw. 1.73



Suspect draw will go a tad shorter, but, am happy to stagger a few small lays in, at this level.



Negative / Slow approach by India .. Not taking singles, have forced Mr Draw into 1.55.

Curious approach by India .. In the first 20 NZ, 5 overs, for 4 runs .. Can't fathom this.

Well, seriously taking about going back to bed.

307-8 .. 30 mins in .. 10 runs added.

India 4.2

Eng 9.2

Draw 1.51



And 5 mins later, Draw 1.45



I go back to bed ....



Turgid ckt, and didn't miss much. At Tea, Eng 81-2, lead by 85.

India 5.8

England 14

Draw 1.30



Draw want to 1.18 or so, but, they lose Pietersen, and suddenly, a game result is possible.

Eng 94-3,

India 4.0

Eng 13

Draw 1.45



This game has been a draw trap .. Am led to believe, there has been no non-rain affected draw all year - this will be the first .. Which makes it expensive for habitual draw backers - thou, there have been many ran affected ones, in a V wet yr.

114-3 ... draw 1.30



Some loud appeals, and umpires put under extreme pressure. Not easy, without DRS .. And we know whose to blame for that.



Run rate all game, has been deplorable, 1.96 per over, bores the crap out of everyone.



Eng finish on 161-3 ... I wasn't watching.



Momentum One Day Cup Final - Reserve Day - Wanderers

Take 2, and the weather forecast from mid- day, looks decidedly dodgy. They start early at 10 am local, but, thik the rain will hit, as the 2nd team get to bat.

Lions bat 1st, and manage 234.

Levi and Puttick get Cobras off to a flying start, but. Tahir .. Remember him, gets 2 quickl wkts, before the wind gets up, it goes cold, and #megarain arrives, 11 overs in.

20 overs needed for a game .. Not sure, they will get them.

 

3.15 local ... Banging down. Need to get back by 5.45 for 20 over game.

 

Power tripped ... Again

 

Gloomy overhead.

 

Serious lakes on outfield, which will take 90 mins to clear, IMHO.

This will be close.

 

3.30 local.

 

 

Soppers out .. Will be a while .. Lots fell :

 

3.50 local .. Some progress .. Some rain in distance ..

 

4.00 local ... PA bashing out ear splitting music, but, as ever, they say fuck-all to the paying public. They are a fucking disgrace.

 

4.25 local .. Grd looks ok, but still v wet. Umps doing lots of pointing, which is not a good sign. Rain still on way .. Think this has problems ... #doomed

20 over target is 134 .. Will need 65 from 54, if they get back on.